Quick answer
As of mid-2026, plan on $2.50–$3.25 per watt installed for residential rooftop solar in Texas — about $17,500–$22,750 for a typical 7 kW system — with big-metro quotes often in the lower half of that band thanks to installer competition. The 30% federal tax credit expired December 31, 2025 — 2026 buyers pay the full gross price. What comes back depends on two Texas-specific numbers: a residential electricity rate of 15.94¢/kWh (EIA, June 2026), and — more importantly — how your retail plan credits exported solar, because Texas has no statewide net metering mandate. Worked honestly, simple payback lands around 10–13 years if your plan values exports near retail, and closer to 12–16 years if it doesn’t.

Key takeaways
- Texas’s average residential electricity price was 15.94¢/kWh in June 2026, up from 15.26¢ a year earlier — a 4.5% rise that slowly improves solar payback (EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A, retrieved 2026-09-05). That’s well below the 18.34¢ U.S. average — Texas solar leans on cheap installation and strong sun, not an expensive bill.
- A 7 kW system here produces roughly 10,600 kWh/year. At the full retail rate that’s about $1,694/year of bill value — but only if exports credit near retail; on a typical partial-credit plan, realistic value drops to roughly $1,440.
- There is no statewide net metering law. In deregulated ERCOT territory, the retail electricity provider (REP) you pick sets your solar buyback terms — some plans credit 1:1 with conditions, others pay well below retail. The plan you choose can matter as much as the panels.
- Municipal utilities and co-ops set their own rules; Austin Energy runs its own rebate plus a “Value of Solar” credit framework — a genuine exception worth checking.
- Hail is the physical design constraint, not sun. Spec impact-rated modules, and treat grid outages (Uri, the 2024 Houston derecho) as the argument for a battery.
What solar costs in Texas right now
Texas remains one of the cheapest-per-watt states: dense installer markets keep big-metro bids competitive, and permitting is simpler than in many states. The range below is the gross installed price before any utility rebate:
| System Size | Gross Cost (2026) | Best For |
|---|---|---|
| 6 kW | $15,000 – $19,500 | Small home, modest usage |
| 7 kW | $17,500 – $22,750 | Average Texas home |
| 10 kW | $25,000 – $32,500 | Family home with heavy summer AC |
| 12 kW | $30,000 – $39,000 | Large home / pool / EV |
Ranges are calculated from the $2.50–$3.25/W planning band and rounded to the nearest $250.
Two things push quotes around within that band. First, heat: low-temperature-coefficient panels protect August output when AC load peaks — worth a small premium here more than almost anywhere. Second, roof complexity: tile, steep pitches, and two-story access add labor, and rural installs often run higher on travel and thinner competition.
For how installers build up a $/W quote — equipment, labor, permitting, overhead — see solar panel cost per watt explained; for the full national line-item picture, see solar system costs.
Texas’s electricity price, verified
The rate you offset is the number that decides payback, so it’s worth pinning down. Per EIA’s Electric Power Monthly, Texas’s average residential retail price was 15.94¢/kWh in June 2026, versus 15.26¢ in June 2025 — a 4.5% increase in one year (EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A, retrieved 2026-09-05). The U.S. residential average in the same table was 18.34¢ — Texas sits well below it and is rising slightly more slowly (U.S. +5.0% year over year).
| Metric | Texas | U.S. Average | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Residential price, Jun 2026 | 15.94¢/kWh | 18.34¢/kWh | EIA Table 5.6.A |
| Residential price, Jun 2025 | 15.26¢/kWh | 17.47¢/kWh | EIA Table 5.6.A |
| Year-over-year change | +4.5% | +5.0% | Calculated |
One caution: EIA’s Texas all-sector average in the same table is 10.62¢/kWh — that blends cheap industrial and commercial load and will understate what a homeowner pays; the residential number above is the one that matters for your bill. And in a deregulated market your actual rate is set by the plan you signed, not the state average. Pull your effective ¢/kWh off your own bill (total bill divided by kWh used) before running payback math.
What’s different in Texas: no statewide net metering
Texas’s solar economics don’t look like the national template, and the export rule is the biggest divergence:
- No statewide net metering mandate. Texas never passed one. In the deregulated ERCOT market, the wires company (Oncor, CenterPoint, AEP Texas, TNMP) only delivers power — the Retail Electricity Provider (REP) you choose both sells you electricity and sets your solar buyback terms. Solar in Texas is as much a shopping decision as a hardware decision.
- Buyback plans span a wide spectrum. Some REPs offer 1:1-style credit plans — the closest thing to classic net metering here — usually with enrollment conditions, caps, or annual true-up limits. Others pay a fixed buyback rate well below retail, an avoided-cost-style rate, or time-of-use variants that pay more for evening exports. On the same array, a 1:1 plan versus an avoided-cost plan can change annual value by hundreds of dollars. Compare at least three plans’ solar terms side by side (Power to Choose lists them), check whether buyback terms are fixed for the contract length, and re-shop at every renewal. Our net metering by state (2026) page has a full Texas deep dive.
- Municipal utilities and co-ops write their own rules. Outside ERCOT’s deregulated areas — Austin, San Antonio, most co-op territory — the utility sets its own solar program. Austin Energy is the notable exception: it runs its own residential solar rebate plus a “Value of Solar” framework that credits customers per kWh produced rather than netting exports against consumption. The rebate amount and credit rate change by program year and funding, so confirm current numbers with Austin Energy before counting on them. CPS Energy in San Antonio has likewise offered solar programs; verify current availability. Co-ops range from friendly to indifferent — ask before you sign.
- No state purchase incentive, generally. Texas has no statewide solar rebate or tax credit for homeowners. The long-standing 100% property tax exemption on the added value of solar equipment (Tax Code §11.27) still applies, but budget on the gross price minus any utility rebate.
- Hail and outages are the physical realities. North and Central Texas sit in hail alley; spec impact-rated (UL 61730) modules and check how a claim interacts with your roof deductible. On the grid side, winter storm Uri and the May 2024 Houston derecho that left roughly a million customers dark are why many Texas buyers pair panels with a battery — see our solar battery cost guide and battery backup vs. generator comparison.
Payback: a worked Texas example
Here’s the arithmetic for a typical Texas home, using the verified rate — no federal credit, no hand-waving.
Assumptions: 7 kW rooftop system, ~5.2 peak sun hours/day (mid-range for Texas — verify with a production estimate for your actual roof), 0.8 system efficiency factor for soiling, wiring, and inverter losses.
- Annual production: 7,000 W × 5.2 h/day × 0.8 × 365 days ≈ 10,629 kWh/year (≈ 886 kWh/month)
- Annual bill value at full retail: 10,629 kWh × $0.1594/kWh ≈ $1,694/year
- Gross cost: 7 kW × $2.50–$3.25/W = $17,500–$22,750
- Simple payback (best case): $17,500 ÷ $1,694 ≈ 10.3 years; $22,750 ÷ $1,694 ≈ 13.4 years
| Step | Value |
|---|---|
| System size | 7 kW |
| Production | ~10,629 kWh/yr (~886 kWh/mo) |
| Rate applied | $0.1594/kWh (EIA, Jun 2026) |
| Annual value @ full retail | ~$1,694 |
| Gross cost @ $2.50–$3.25/W | $17,500 – $22,750 |
| Simple payback (full retail) | ~10.3 – 13.4 years |
Now the honest Texas adjustment — the buyback caveat. The full-retail figure assumes every kWh you export is credited at retail. Many plans don’t do that. Suppose your household self-consumes 70% of production (typical for a right-sized array without a battery) and exports 30% under a plan that credits exports at 50% of retail:
- Self-consumed: 10,629 × 0.70 = 7,440 kWh × $0.1594 ≈ $1,186/year
- Exported: 10,629 × 0.30 = 3,189 kWh × $0.0797 (50% credit) ≈ $254/year
- Realistic annual value: ≈ $1,440/year
- Simple payback: $17,500 ÷ $1,440 ≈ 12.1 years; $22,750 ÷ $1,440 ≈ 15.8 years
That gap — roughly two years of payback on the same roof — is the whole Texas game. Two more adjustments: every extra 1¢/kWh on your retail rate adds about $106/year to this system’s value (10,629 × $0.01), and Texas residential rates rose 4.5% in the year to June 2026. Over 25 years, the base case accumulates roughly $36,000–$42,000 at today’s rate with zero escalation — more if rates keep climbing, less if your plan pays wholesale-ish rates. If your roof is shaded or east-west split, run your own numbers with our solar payback calculator before signing anything.
Is solar worth it in Texas in 2026?
For most homeowners with usable south- or west-facing roof space, yes — but the payoff depends on homework the state doesn’t do for you. Cheap installed pricing, ~5.2 sun hours, and a rising (if modest) 15.94¢/kWh rate are real advantages. The honest caveats: no federal credit anymore, no state purchase incentive, and no guaranteed export value — your buyback plan can swing annual savings by hundreds of dollars. Shop plans as hard as you shop panels, size the array to your actual consumption, and confirm your effective rate and plan terms before you commit.
FAQ
Does Texas have net metering in 2026?
How do I compare solar buyback plans in ERCOT?
Is the federal tax credit available in Texas in 2026?
Do solar panels survive Texas hail?
Does a battery make sense with Texas solar?
Next logical reads
- Net metering by state (2026)
- Solar payback calculator
- Solar system cost breakdown
- Federal solar tax credit: what ended
- Solar panel cost per watt explained
- Solar system sizing guide
- Solar battery cost (2026)
- Solar panel cost in Arizona
- Solar panel cost in Florida
- Solar panel cost in California
- Solar panel cost in Colorado
- Solar panel cost in Nevada
- All state solar cost guides